Kathmandu: Politics continues to be stagnant with no signs of improvement in the near future.
Analysts say that neither the government nor the leaders of the Maoists insurgency appear to be in a mood to resume talks.
The deadlock continues.
Efforts aimed at resuming the talks in between the government and the insurgents in order to restore normalcy appear remote.
” I have not yet been approached by the government. The whereabouts of the Maoists is also unknown to me. The representatives of both the warring rivals have so far not contacted me nor have I tries in that regard after the abrupt failure of the last round of talks”, so said Shailendra Kumar Upadhyaya who acted as a facilitator in the last round of talks held in between the government and the Maoists.
However, Upadhyaya expressed his concern over the killings on both the sides after the abrupt failure of the talks.
Analysts maintain that the figures declared by the government or even by the Maoists could go up.
Whosoever is being killed in the ongoing battle between the Maoists and the government, is a Nepali first, added Mr. Upadhyaya.
Mr. Upadhyaya made these observations Monday evening at a German Embassy reception.
However, another peace-talks facilitator, Mr. Padma Ratna Tuladhar has recently come up with a brilliant idea.
According to Mr. Tuladhar, the government clearly wishes the Maoists to lay down their arms after first few rounds of talks. The Maoists reject this proposition.
In effect, theirs having arms with them has allowed the insurgents to talk with the government with the “position of strength” and hence apparently wish to extract greater political concessions from the old regime.
The situation is that the Maoists will not abandon the arms. The government will keep on suspecting the intents of the Maoists even after few rounds of talks with them fearing a possibility of attack on the security forces. The intent of the Maoists could not be that but then the government is thinking that way.
Tuladhar has one suitable formulae to overcome this unique situation. He says that the Maoists could be influenced to lay down their arms to a third country mediator.
However, how the Maoists will react to Mr. Tuladhar’s proposal is not clear. But his opinions can’t be dismissed either.
Analysts say that first priority should be for the resumption of the talks. If the talks begin then the question of laying down of the arms will emerge.
It will be premature to predict at this stage that the insurgents would agree to Tuladhar’s formulae unless they are assured that they will be allowed greater concessions close to what they have demanding.
It is altogether a different matter as to how the low-rank Maoists cadres will react to Tuladhar’s proposition even if their high command leaders accept Tuladhar’s idea.