Kathmandu: Girija Prasad Koirala’s old-age (mis )adventure is on.

His splinter congress is continuously sending threat-loaded signals to the constitutional monarch that their “agitation” at the moment could turn into a sort of “movement” against the Royal move of October 4 should the King does not correct his, what Koirala congress prefers to call, constitutional blunders.

The King too is giving an impression that he will not deter from his “previous stands” come what may.

This is the source of a possible confrontation in between the King and the Congress led by Koirala that apparently will take a formal shape in the coming days and months.

The Koirala congress in the process of pressurizing the King to yield to their demands, which include the reinstatement of the now dissolved parliament, has begun submitting memoranda at the Office of the Chief District Officer in all the districts of the country wherein they demand the King to revert his October 4 decision. This process will continue for a few days more, say Koirala congressites.

A clever UML very reluctantly exhibited its support to the ongoing Koirala moves but then it is in the process of finalising its own 7th general convention scheduled early February next month. The UML, say informed ones, is still in the process of a “substantial bargaining” with the powers-that-be. If the bargain favor their demands, it is widely talked that the UML might leave Koirala in the cold and might join the cabinet under Chand or any one other than Chand.

In effect, this bargaining: whether or not to join the cabinet prior to the elections, has created sharp rifts in and among the UML top-hats.

Insiders of the UML say that the K.P.Woli faction which is unconditionally backed by the all-time firebrand Bamdev Gautam wishes to enter into the cabinet. The other equally competent lobby led by Madhav is opposing its declared rivals’ propositions simply because Madhav Nepal and his coterie considers his rivals views apparently influenced by the King. Furthermore, Madhav Nepal suspects the very motives of his rivals because during his absence from the country, his rival Mr. Woli was granted royal audience and hence he thinks that the idea of joining the cabinet by Mr. Woli and his supporters must have been influenced by the King.

Informed sources say that Madhav Nepal too is being told by some alien forces not to join the cabinet so that the King finally yields.

Neither the political parties nor the King have till now yielded. Nor do both exhibit their tendencies to yield which is, as already told, is the real source of confrontation.

Our own analysis in this regard is entirely different from what our professional colleagues of various shades and opinions have been writing that suits to their political needs.

Neither the King can afford a prolonged confrontation with the political parties nor the political parties can afford the same for understandable obvious reasons.

One thing is clear. If the King is pressed to the wall he would react with much greater force. Likewise, if the King reacts forcefully, what is the guarantee that the parties opposing the Royal 4 steps not seek extraneous support to take up the challenge posed to them by the monarch.

It is this situation that would be dangerous for both the parties. It is this situation where alien forces would begin playing one against the other. This is what had happened more or less during the 1990s, to recall.