Kathmandu: Politics never remains static, it is generally believed. If this saying is true then let’s hope that Nepali politics too remains in a dynamic situation which apparently is being thought otherwise by the national population who are more often than not told of the real happenings neither by the establishment not by the major political actors.
The same is true this time around.
The fact is that the Government through its own channels has been sending signals to the Maoists quarters that they are ready for talks if the other camp so desired.
Very pleasingly, Surya Bahadur Thapa, the incumbent Prime Minister, provided ample hint that he was ready for talks.
This is not all.
The Maoists too appear very much eager for talks provided conducive atmosphere is prepared for such a talks.
Sudip Pathak, a Human Right activist, made a startling revelation that the “Maoists too were willing for such a talks with the establishment”.
Mr. Pathak met the Premier Monday afternoon.
This means that the iron is hot and could be provided a shape while it remained hot.
Analysts opine that this new gestures coming as it does from the rival quarters is a welcome move for both the warring parties perhaps realized that there was no meaning in lingering the battle wherein a Nepali is hell bent on killing the other Nepali.
But then the fact is also that if both see the need for talks then why is this battle continuing?
Is it to present oneself from a position of strength at time of the talks?
Perhaps yes!
But what factors could have prompted both to see the need for the talks when the two continue to each other as and when they confront each other?
The fact is that both apparently have concluded that it was a war neither side could win. Secondly, the fact could also be that both realised that a sort of amicable solution to this imbroglio would be in the larger interest of the people and the nation. Thirdly, the Maoists could have been told to restrain themselves by those who supposedly have been providing shelters to the leaders of the insurgency. Fourthly, the government too might have been suggested by friendly countries to tame its military men as cases of HR abuses were on the rise and that the solution to this issue lay not in the mobilization of the security personals but talks. Fifthly, the Maoists presumably concluded that since the State was at the receiving end of the required sophisticated military hardwares to which they can’t match at the battle field. This they could have also concluded upon the sad incident that rocked Sweden only last week which, in their own consideration, might enhance Nepali establishment with much more lethal weapons to contain the Maoists threat here. Understandably, the incident in Sweden must have come as a bonus for this country which will undoubtedly approach the European nations for more weapons to face the challenge here posed to it by the Maoists.
The fact is that Europe can not deny the Nepali requests.
It could also be that the Nepali establishment under Thapa realised that the Maoists too were not that weak as is being interpreted in certain quarters. The Maoists insurgency in effect is not that weak as Thapa opined a week ago. That the Maoists were still a force got reflected from their fierceful attack on Bhojpur and the manner the government has remained helpless in doing away with the blockades imposed by the Maoists in certain districts.
It is in this light, analysts here wish to take King Gyanendra’s sudden trip to Bhadrapur the other day. Add to this the longer stay of Crown Prince in Bhadrapur. But for why?
Interpretations galore indeed.
Kathmandu’s intellectuals see significance in this royal visit to Bhadrapur. Who knows that the King might have gone there to ventilate his things to the Maoists through the use of his own channels?
To recall, rumors last year were that the King had met some top-notch of the insurgency while he was in Biratnagar to grace a felicitation reception organised by the people of the eastern region in his honor.
Whether the King met the Maoists leaders there or not is a matter still under debate among the intellectuals. However, what is for sure is that after such a rumor spread in the country, the Maoists came to the negotiating table. Could be a mere coincidence!
But then what is the harm if the King initiates such a track-two or even three diplomacy and manages the conflict to come to an end?
Be that as it may, if Mr. Pathak’s revelations are correct then what could be concluded is that this time both the contending forces will attend the talks for long and that both will present themselves in a much more matured manner and hopefully provide a sigh of relief to this bleeding nation.
Equally interesting is the fact that the Maoists appear close to the now agitating parties and the latter apparently is banking on their clandestine support. What will happen if the Maoists join the talks? Will not the agitating parties fall flat?
The fact is that the Maoists are close to the parties or at least they are providing this impression. It is also revealingly true that they wish to resume the talks. What is also true is that the Maoists are close to both or at least exploring the possibilities to cash in on the rifts in between the government-parties; the King and the parties; and the fragile situation in the country.
For squeezing greater concessions perhaps! Could be pressure tactics. This does happen at times of love and war.